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Igman Konjic vs Sloboda Tuzla Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

FBiH - 20 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 15:00

Igman Konjic

PPG 1.33 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Sloboda Tuzla

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.11)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-15.2%0-23.9%0-32.0%0-4+1.0%1 1-06.5%1-19.7%1-27.3%1-33.7%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.0%2-19.0%2-26.8%2-33.4%2-4+1.8%3 3-03.7%3-15.6%3-24.2%3-32.1%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-13.9%4+-22.9%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.1% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 31.5% — — —

Over 2.5 65.1% — — —

Over 3.5 43.2% — — —

BTTS 65.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -30.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob65.5%

H 46% / xG 1.9-1.5 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.7%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 7.3%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 1–0✓ 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Igman Konjic1.9

Sloboda Tuzla1.5

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.1% · O3.5 PROB 43.2%

Form & verdict PPG

IGMAN KONJIC · PPG 1.33

SLOBODA TUZLA · PPG 1.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.11)

Win probability 1X2

Igman Konjic (H) 46.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sloboda Tuzla (A) 31.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Igman Konjic face Sloboda Tuzla in Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Igman Konjic a 46% chance, the draw 23% and Sloboda Tuzla 32%, so Igman Konjic are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Igman Konjic and 1.5 for Sloboda Tuzla (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Igman Konjic are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.11 for Sloboda Tuzla. This match finished 1-0.

Igman Konjic vs Sloboda Tuzla Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - FBiH

Match Preview & Prediction

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