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Karvina U19 vs Slavia P. U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 23 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 11:45

Karvina U19

PPG 1.91 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Slavia P. U19

PPG 1.09 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-11.5%0-21.8%0-31.5%0-4+1.7%1 1-01.6%1-13.9%1-24.8%1-34.0%1-4+4.5%2 2-02.1%2-15.1%2-26.4%2-35.3%2-4+6.0%3 3-01.8%3-14.5%3-25.6%3-34.7%3-4+5.3%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-15.6%4+-27.0%4+-35.8%4+-4+6.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.4% — — —

Draw 18.2% — — —

Away win 38.4% — — —

Over 2.5 88.6% — — —

Over 3.5 75.3% — — —

BTTS 85.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 16.3%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob85.2%

H 43% / xG 2.6-2.5 / O2.5 89% / BTTS 85%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.4%

#2 3–2 5.6%

#3 2–3 5.3%

#4 2–1 5.1%

#5 1–2 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Karvina U192.6

Slavia P. U192.5

COMBINED 5.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 88.6% · O3.5 PROB 75.3%

Form & verdict PPG

KARVINA U19 · PPG 1.91

SLAVIA P. U19 · PPG 1.09

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.91) vs P(Home)=43.4%

Win probability 1X2

Karvina U19 (H) 43.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Slavia P. U19 (A) 38.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Karvina U19 face Slavia P. U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Karvina U19 a 43% chance, the draw 18% and Slavia P. U19 38%, so Karvina U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Karvina U19 and 2.5 for Slavia P. U19 (5.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 89% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 85% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Karvina U19 are averaging 1.91 points per game versus 1.09 for Slavia P. U19. This match finished 1-0.

Karvina U19 vs Slavia P. U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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