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Eyupspor vs Gaziantep Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Matchday 31 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 11:30

Eyupspor logo
Eyupspor
PPG 0.87 · HOME
LAST 5
WWDWD
3 – 0
FULL TIME
Gaziantep logo
Gaziantep
PPG 1.13 · AWAY
LAST 5
WLLLL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.7%0-112.1%0-27.5%0-33.1%0-4+1.3%1 1-010.5%1-113.1%1-28.2%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-05.7%2-17.1%2-24.5%2-31.9%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.1%3-12.6%3-21.6%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 32.1% 39.2% 2.55 -18.1%
Draw 28.0% 29.0% 3.45 -3.4%
Away win 39.9% 39.1% 2.56 +2.1%
Over 2.5 41.4% 55.6% 1.80 -25.5%
Over 3.5 20.8% 33.3% 3.00 -37.6%
BTTS 47.3% 61.7% 1.62 -23.4%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5 67%
BTTS 64%
Score Hit 40%
ROI 20.3%
Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-0
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob47.3%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%
#2 0–1 12.1%
#3 1–0 10.5%
#4 0–0 9.7%
#5 1–2 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eyupspor1.1
Gaziantep1.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.4% · O3.5 PROB 20.8%

Form & verdict PPG

EYUPSPOR · PPG 0.87

GAZIANTEP · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
Chance this pick lands
47%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.87), Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

Eyupspor (H) 32.1%
ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -18.1%
Draw 28.0%
ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -3.4%
Gaziantep (A) 39.9%
ODDS 2.56 · IMPLIED 39.1% EV +2.1%

Season Statistics average per match · 34 matches · 2025

Eyupspor ▾ lower is better Gaziantep

Attack

10.4
Shots
13.1
3.5
Shots on target
4.4
4.4
Shots off target
5.3
2.5
Blocked shots
3.4
6.0
Shots inside box
7.9
4.4
Shots outside box
5.2
33.7%
Shooting accuracy
33.9%
27.7%
Goals per shot on target
28.5%
0.97
Goals
1.26
1.01
xG for
1.31

Defence

14.2
Shots faced
14.2
4.9
Shots on target faced
5.2
1.41
Goals conceded
1.71
1.57
xG against
1.50
3.3
Goalkeeper saves
3.5

Control

48.0%
Possession
49.8%
377
Passes
386
304
Accurate passes
318
80.6%
Pass accuracy
82.5%
3.4
Corners
5.0
5.9
Corners faced
5.2
2.3
Offsides
1.4

Discipline

12.1
Fouls
13.2
2.4
Yellow cards
2.8
0.12
Red cards
0.15

Match Preview & Prediction

Eyupspor face Gaziantep in Turkey - Süper Lig on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eyupspor a 32% chance, the draw 28% and Gaziantep 40%, so Gaziantep are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Eyupspor and 1.2 for Gaziantep (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eyupspor are averaging 0.87 points per game versus 1.13 for Gaziantep. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +2.1%. This match finished 3-0.

PredictVantage

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