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Eyupspor vs Gaziantep Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Regular Season - 31 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 11:30

Eyupspor logo
Eyupspor
PPG 0.87 · HOME
3 – 0
FULL TIME
Gaziantep logo
Gaziantep
PPG 1.13 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.7%0-112.1%0-27.5%0-33.1%0-4+1.3%1 1-010.5%1-113.1%1-28.2%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-05.7%2-17.1%2-24.5%2-31.9%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.1%3-12.6%3-21.6%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 32.1% 39.2% 2.55 -18.1%
Draw 28.0% 29.0% 3.45 -3.4%
Away win 39.9% 39.1% 2.56 +2.1%
Over 2.5 41.4% 55.6% 1.80 -25.5%
Over 3.5 20.8% 33.3% 3.00 -37.6%
BTTS 47.3% 61.7% 1.62 -23.4%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%
O2.5 71%
BTTS 61%
Score Hit 44%
ROI 7.1%
Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-0
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob47.3%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%
#2 0–1 12.1%
#3 1–0 10.5%
#4 0–0 9.7%
#5 1–2 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eyupspor1.1
Gaziantep1.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.4% · O3.5 PROB 20.8%

Form & verdict PPG

EYUPSPOR · PPG 0.87

GAZIANTEP · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.87), Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

Eyupspor (H) 32.1%
ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -18.1%
Draw 28.0%
ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -3.4%
Gaziantep (A) 39.9%
ODDS 2.56 · IMPLIED 39.1% EV +2.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eyupspor face Gaziantep in Turkey - Süper Lig on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eyupspor a 32% chance, the draw 28% and Gaziantep 40%, so Gaziantep are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Eyupspor and 1.2 for Gaziantep (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eyupspor are averaging 0.87 points per game versus 1.13 for Gaziantep. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +2.1%. This match finished 3-0.

PredictVantage

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