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APIA Leichhardt U20 vs Sydney FC U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Semi-finals ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 02:30

APIA Leichhardt U20

PPG 2.47 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Sydney FC U20

PPG 1.62 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5 66% chance

xG gap +1.14 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-13.9%0-22.2%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-07.9%1-18.7%1-24.8%1-31.8%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.8%2-19.8%2-25.4%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-06.6%3-17.3%3-24.0%3-31.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-06.3%4+-16.9%4+-23.8%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.3% — — —

Draw 21.8% — — —

Away win 23.0% — — —

Over 2.5 63.7% — — —

Over 3.5 40.5% — — —

BTTS 61.5% — — —

Home O1.5 66.3% — — —

Away O1.5 33.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.7%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.8%

#4 1–2 4.8%

#5 3–1 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

APIA Leichhardt U202.2

Sydney FC U201.1

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 40.5%

Form & verdict PPG

APIA LEICHHARDT U20 · PPG 2.47

SYDNEY FC U20 · PPG 1.62

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

66%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.14 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

APIA Leichhardt U20 (H) 55.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sydney FC U20 (A) 23.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

APIA Leichhardt U20 face Sydney FC U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives APIA Leichhardt U20 a 55% chance, the draw 22% and Sydney FC U20 23%, so APIA Leichhardt U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for APIA Leichhardt U20 and 1.1 for Sydney FC U20 (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, APIA Leichhardt U20 are averaging 2.47 points per game versus 1.62 for Sydney FC U20. This match finished 0-1.

APIA Leichhardt U20 vs Sydney FC U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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