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Sydney Utd U20 vs Manly Utd U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Semi-finals ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 01:00

Sydney Utd U20

PPG 2.13 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Manly Utd U20

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 73% chance

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-12.3%0-21.9%0-31.1%0-4+0.6%1 1-03.6%1-16.0%1-25.0%1-32.8%1-4+1.7%2 2-04.7%2-17.8%2-26.5%2-33.6%2-4+2.2%3 3-04.1%3-16.9%3-25.7%3-33.2%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-05.1%4+-18.5%4+-27.1%4+-33.9%4+-4+2.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.9% — — —

Draw 19.4% — — —

Away win 25.7% — — —

Over 2.5 72.6% — — —

Over 3.5 52.5% — — —

BTTS 69.4% — — —

Home O1.5 66.3% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.8%

#2 1–1 6.0%

#3 3–1 6.9%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 1–2✓ 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sydney Utd U202.6

Manly Utd U201.7

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.6% · O3.5 PROB 52.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SYDNEY UTD U20 · PPG 2.13

MANLY UTD U20 · PPG 1.27

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

73%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.96 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sydney Utd U20 (H) 54.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Manly Utd U20 (A) 25.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sydney Utd U20 face Manly Utd U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sydney Utd U20 a 55% chance, the draw 19% and Manly Utd U20 26%, so Sydney Utd U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Sydney Utd U20 and 1.7 for Manly Utd U20 (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sydney Utd U20 are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 1.27 for Manly Utd U20. This match finished 1-2.

Sydney Utd U20 vs Manly Utd U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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