Today / Algeria - Ligue 1 / ASO Chlef vs CR Belouizdad

ASO Chlef vs CR Belouizdad Prediction— Algeria - Ligue 1

Matchday 1 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 20:00

ASO Chlef

PPG 1.52 · HOME

UPCOMING

CR Belouizdad

PPG 1.52 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.3%0-19.1%0-24.0%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.3%1-112.6%1-25.6%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.9%2-18.8%2-23.9%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.6%3-14.1%3-21.8%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-11.9%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.8% 18.3% 5.45 +160.5%

Draw 27.3% 30.5% 3.28 -6.3%

Away win 24.9% 62.1% 1.61 -35.9%

Over 2.5 49.7% 39.7% 2.52 +25.2%

Over 3.5 27.7% 19.4% 5.15 +25.6%

BTTS 49.9% 41.3% 2.42 +20.8%

Home O1.5 39.7% 16.1% 6.20 +146.1%

Away O1.5 25.5% 46.3% 2.16 -27.0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.9%

H 48% / xG 1.4-0.9 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 1–0 14.3%

#3 0–0 10.3%

#4 2–0 9.9%

#5 2–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

ASO Chlef1.4

CR Belouizdad0.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.7% · O3.5 PROB 27.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ASO CHLEF · PPG 1.52

CR BELOUIZDAD · PPG 1.52

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.51 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

ASO Chlef (H) 47.8%

ODDS 5.45 · IMPLIED 18.3% EV +160.5%

Draw 27.3%

ODDS 3.28 · IMPLIED 30.5% EV -6.3%

CR Belouizdad (A) 24.9%

ODDS 1.61 · IMPLIED 62.1% EV -35.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

ASO Chlef face CR Belouizdad in Algeria - Ligue 1 on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives ASO Chlef a 48% chance, the draw 27% and CR Belouizdad 25%, so ASO Chlef are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for ASO Chlef and 0.9 for CR Belouizdad (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, ASO Chlef are averaging 1.52 points per game versus 1.52 for CR Belouizdad. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +223.4%.

ASO Chlef vs CR Belouizdad Prediction— Algeria - Ligue 1

Match Preview & Prediction

More Algeria - Ligue 1 Predictions