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JS Kabylie vs MB Rouisset Prediction— Algeria - Ligue 1

Matchday 1 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 20:00

JS Kabylie logo
JS Kabylie
PPG 1.65 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
MB Rouisset logo
MB Rouisset
PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 50.5% vs bookmaker-implied 40.0% — a clear edge.

+26.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗
ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.7%0-18.6%0-23.8%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.0%1-112.5%1-25.6%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.1%2-19.0%2-24.0%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.9%3-14.3%3-21.9%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-12.2%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 49.5% 69.4% 1.44 -28.7%
Draw 26.3% 27.0% 3.70 -1.6%
Away win 24.2% 14.3% 7.00 +41.6%
Over 2.5 50.4% 45.5% 2.20 +10.9%
Over 3.5 28.7% 25.0% 4.00 +8.9%
BTTS 50.5% 40.0% 2.50 +26.3%
Home O1.5 39.9% 59.9% 1.67 -33.4%
Away O1.5 25.7% 18.2% 5.50 +24.8%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob50.5%

H 50% / xG 1.4-0.9 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.0%
#2 1–1 12.5%
#3 2–0 10.1%
#4 0–0 9.7%
#5 2–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

JS Kabylie1.4
MB Rouisset0.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

JS KABYLIE · PPG 1.65

MB ROUISSET · PPG 0.83

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.55 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

JS Kabylie (H) 49.5%
ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -28.7%
Draw 26.3%
ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -1.6%
MB Rouisset (A) 24.2%
ODDS 7.00 · IMPLIED 14.3% EV +41.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

JS Kabylie face MB Rouisset in Algeria - Ligue 1 on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives JS Kabylie a 50% chance, the draw 26% and MB Rouisset 24%, so JS Kabylie are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for JS Kabylie and 0.9 for MB Rouisset (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, JS Kabylie are averaging 1.65 points per game versus 0.83 for MB Rouisset. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +83.8%.

PredictVantage

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18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org