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Omonia Aradippou vs Krasava Ypsonas Prediction— Cyprus - 1. Division

Matchday 2 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 17:00

Omonia Aradippou

PPG 1.36 · HOME

LAST 5

D ····

UPCOMING

Krasava Ypsonas

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

LAST 5

L ····

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.6%0-18.9%0-24.6%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-012.2%1-112.6%1-26.5%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.6%2-18.9%2-24.6%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.1%3-14.2%3-22.2%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.0%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.7% 48.8% 2.05 -8.4%

Draw 30.4% 33.3% 3.00 -8.8%

Away win 24.9% 29.4% 3.40 -9.2%

Over 2.5 44.9% 47.6% 2.10 -5.7%

Over 3.5 28.3% 26.7% 3.75 +3.7%

BTTS 49.5% 55.6% 1.80 -10.9%

Home O1.5 39.9% 45.5% 2.20 -12.2%

Away O1.5 32.3% 29.4% 3.40 +9.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 19%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.5%

H 45% / xG 1.4-1.0 / O2.5 45% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 1–0 12.2%

#3 0–0 8.6%

#4 2–1 8.9%

#5 2–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Omonia Aradippou1.4

Krasava Ypsonas1.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.3%

Form & verdict PPG

OMONIA ARADIPPOU · PPG 1.36

KRASAVA YPSONAS · PPG 1.17

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.38, combined xG 2.45 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Omonia Aradippou (H) 44.7%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -8.4%

Draw 30.4%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -8.8%

Krasava Ypsonas (A) 24.9%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -9.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Omonia Aradippou face Krasava Ypsonas in Cyprus - 1. Division on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Omonia Aradippou a 45% chance, the draw 30% and Krasava Ypsonas 25%, so Omonia Aradippou are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Omonia Aradippou and 1.0 for Krasava Ypsonas (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Omonia Aradippou are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.17 for Krasava Ypsonas. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +11.8%.

Omonia Aradippou vs Krasava Ypsonas Prediction— Cyprus - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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