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Omonia Nicosia vs Omonia Aradippou Prediction— Cyprus - 1. Division

Matchday 1 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 17:00

Omonia Nicosia

PPG 2.19 · HOME

LAST 5

D ····

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Omonia Aradippou

PPG 1.34 · AWAY

LAST 5

D ····

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 58.1% vs bookmaker-implied 50.0% — a clear edge.

+16.2% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-17.2%0-24.5%0-31.9%0-4+0.8%1 1-09.3%1-111.5%1-27.2%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.5%2-19.3%2-25.8%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-04.0%3-15.0%3-23.1%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-12.9%4+-21.8%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.5% 87.0% 1.15 -46.5%

Draw 24.2% 16.0% 6.25 +30.8%

Away win 29.3% 7.7% 13.00 +168.5%

Over 2.5 55.8% 72.5% 1.38 -23.0%

Over 3.5 34.8% 51.3% 1.95 -32.1%

BTTS 58.1% 50.0% 2.00 +16.2%

Home O1.5 48.0% 83.3% 1.20 -42.4%

Away O1.5 36.8% 18.2% 5.50 +102.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob58.1%

H 46% / xG 1.6-1.2 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–0 9.3%

#4 2–0 7.5%

#5 1–2 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Omonia Nicosia1.6

Omonia Aradippou1.2

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.8% · O3.5 PROB 34.8%

Form & verdict PPG

OMONIA NICOSIA · PPG 2.19

OMONIA ARADIPPOU · PPG 1.34

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.36 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Omonia Nicosia (H) 46.5%

ODDS 1.15 · IMPLIED 87.0% EV -46.5%

Draw 24.2%

ODDS 6.25 · IMPLIED 16.0% EV +30.8%

Omonia Aradippou (A) 29.3%

ODDS 13.00 · IMPLIED 7.7% EV +168.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Omonia Nicosia face Omonia Aradippou in Cyprus - 1. Division on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Omonia Nicosia a 47% chance, the draw 24% and Omonia Aradippou 29%, so Omonia Nicosia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Omonia Nicosia and 1.2 for Omonia Aradippou (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Omonia Nicosia are averaging 2.19 points per game versus 1.34 for Omonia Aradippou. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +229.8%. This match finished 0-0.

Omonia Nicosia vs Omonia Aradippou Prediction— Cyprus - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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