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Apollon Limassol vs Anorthosis Prediction— Cyprus - 1. Division

Matchday 2 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 16:00

Apollon Limassol

PPG 1.90 · HOME

LAST 5

D ····

UPCOMING

Anorthosis

PPG 1.01 · AWAY

LAST 5

L ····

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.4%0-18.2%0-24.0%0-31.3%0-4+0.4%1 1-012.6%1-112.3%1-26.1%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.4%2-19.2%2-24.5%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.7%3-14.6%3-22.3%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-12.4%4+-21.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.1% 66.7% 1.50 -29.3%

Draw 28.3% 26.7% 3.75 +3.7%

Away win 24.6% 17.2% 5.80 +25.6%

Over 2.5 49.1% 55.6% 1.80 -11.6%

Over 3.5 28.7% 33.3% 3.00 -8.3%

BTTS 49.9% 54.6% 1.83 -8.7%

Home O1.5 39.9% 61.7% 1.62 -35.4%

Away O1.5 28.4% 23.1% 4.33 +13.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 21%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.9%

H 47% / xG 1.5-1.0 / O2.5 49% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 1–0 12.6%

#3 0–0 8.4%

#4 2–0 9.4%

#5 2–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Apollon Limassol1.5

Anorthosis1.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.1% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

APOLLON LIMASSOL · PPG 1.90

ANORTHOSIS · PPG 1.01

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.51 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Apollon Limassol (H) 47.1%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -29.3%

Draw 28.3%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +3.7%

Anorthosis (A) 24.6%

ODDS 5.80 · IMPLIED 17.2% EV +25.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Apollon Limassol face Anorthosis in Cyprus - 1. Division on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Apollon Limassol a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Anorthosis 25%, so Apollon Limassol are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Apollon Limassol and 1.0 for Anorthosis (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Apollon Limassol are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 1.01 for Anorthosis. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +37.8%.

Apollon Limassol vs Anorthosis Prediction— Cyprus - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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