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Ostrava U19 vs Dukla P. U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 23 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 11:00

Ostrava U19

PPG 2.27 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Dukla P. U19

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-12.7%0-22.3%0-31.3%0-4+0.8%1 1-03.9%1-16.6%1-25.5%1-33.1%1-4+1.9%2 2-04.8%2-18.1%2-26.8%2-33.8%2-4+2.4%3 3-03.9%3-16.6%3-25.6%3-33.1%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-17.3%4+-26.1%4+-33.5%4+-4+2.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.8% — — —

Draw 19.1% — — —

Away win 26.1% — — —

Over 2.5 78.2% — — —

Over 3.5 59.4% — — —

BTTS 74.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 16.3%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob74.5%

H 55% / xG 2.5-1.7 / O2.5 78% / BTTS 74%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.1%

#2 2–2✓ 6.8%

#3 3–1 6.6%

#4 1–1 6.6%

#5 3–2 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ostrava U192.5

Dukla P. U191.7

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.2% · O3.5 PROB 59.4%

Form & verdict PPG

OSTRAVA U19 · PPG 2.27

DUKLA P. U19 · PPG 1.36

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.27) vs P(Home)=54.8%

Win probability 1X2

Ostrava U19 (H) 54.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dukla P. U19 (A) 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ostrava U19 face Dukla P. U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ostrava U19 a 55% chance, the draw 19% and Dukla P. U19 26%, so Ostrava U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Ostrava U19 and 1.7 for Dukla P. U19 (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 75% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ostrava U19 are averaging 2.27 points per game versus 1.36 for Dukla P. U19. This match finished 2-2.

Ostrava U19 vs Dukla P. U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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