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Lokomotíva Zvolen vs Pohronie Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Matchday 7 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 14:00

Lokomotíva Zvolen

PPG 1.19 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDLD

UPCOMING

Pohronie

PPG 0.81 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWLW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.2% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-17.9%0-24.5%0-31.7%0-4+0.6%1 1-010.6%1-112.1%1-26.9%1-32.6%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.1%2-19.2%2-25.3%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.1%3-14.7%3-22.7%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.5%4+-21.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.4% 47.6% 2.10 -4.7%

Draw 24.5% 32.3% 3.10 -14.4%

Away win 30.1% 33.3% 3.00 -9.7%

Over 2.5 53.8% 57.1% 1.75 -5.9%

Over 3.5 31.7% 36.5% 2.74 -13.1%

BTTS 55.2% 62.5% 1.60 -11.7%

Home O1.5 40.2% 51.3% 1.95 -21.6%

Away O1.5 33.2% 40.0% 2.50 -17.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -4.0%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.2%

H 45% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–0 10.6%

#4 2–0 8.1%

#5 1–2 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lokomotíva Zvolen1.5

Pohronie1.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

LOKOMOTÍVA ZVOLEN · PPG 1.19

POHRONIE · PPG 0.81

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.38 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Lokomotíva Zvolen (H) 45.4%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -4.7%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -14.4%

Pohronie (A) 30.1%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -9.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lokomotíva Zvolen face Pohronie in Slovakia - 2. liga on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lokomotíva Zvolen a 45% chance, the draw 25% and Pohronie 30%, so Lokomotíva Zvolen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Lokomotíva Zvolen and 1.1 for Pohronie (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lokomotíva Zvolen are averaging 1.19 points per game versus 0.81 for Pohronie.

Lokomotíva Zvolen vs Pohronie Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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