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Považská Bystrica vs Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Matchday 7 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 14:00

Považská Bystrica

PPG 1.54 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWLD

UPCOMING

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWDW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.5% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-15.7%0-23.8%0-31.7%0-4+0.7%1 1-07.8%1-110.3%1-26.9%1-33.0%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.1%2-19.5%2-26.3%2-32.8%2-4+1.2%3 3-04.3%3-15.8%3-23.8%3-31.7%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-14.0%4+-22.6%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.9% 52.4% 1.91 -12.3%

Draw 24.0% 30.3% 3.30 -12.5%

Away win 30.1% 30.8% 3.25 -2.2%

Over 2.5 60.7% 60.6% 1.65 +0.1%

Over 3.5 37.5% 41.2% 2.43 -8.9%

BTTS 61.5% 65.4% 1.53 -5.9%

Home O1.5 53.1% 56.2% 1.78 -5.5%

Away O1.5 42.2% 41.2% 2.43 +2.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -4.0%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob61.5%

H 46% / xG 1.8-1.3 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 1–2 6.9%

#4 2–0 7.1%

#5 1–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Považská Bystrica1.8

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom1.3

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.7% · O3.5 PROB 37.5%

Form & verdict PPG

POVAŽSKÁ BYSTRICA · PPG 1.54

BANÍK LEHOTA P.VTÁČNIKOM · PPG 1.29

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.50 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Považská Bystrica (H) 45.9%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -12.3%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -12.5%

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom (A) 30.1%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -2.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Považská Bystrica face Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom in Slovakia - 2. liga on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Považská Bystrica a 46% chance, the draw 24% and Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 30%, so Považská Bystrica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Považská Bystrica and 1.3 for Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Považská Bystrica are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.29 for Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +3.6%.

Považská Bystrica vs Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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