Today / Thailand - Thai League 2 / Chanthaburi vs Khon Kaen United

Chanthaburi vs Khon Kaen United Prediction— Thailand - Thai League 2

Matchday 1 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 12:00

Chanthaburi

PPG 1.48 · HOME

LAST 5

L ····

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Khon Kaen United

PPG 0.95 · AWAY

LAST 5

W ····

// Model verdict

BTTS 59% chance

Model probability 55.6% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-17.2%0-24.1%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-010.5%1-111.7%1-26.6%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.5%2-19.5%2-25.3%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.6%3-15.1%3-22.9%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-13.0%4+-21.7%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.5% 40.0% 2.50 +18.8%

Draw 24.6% 32.3% 3.10 -14.2%

Away win 27.9% 40.0% 2.50 -18.1%

Over 2.5 53.8% 54.1% 1.85 -0.5%

Over 3.5 31.7% 34.2% 2.92 -7.4%

BTTS 55.6% 59.9% 1.67 -7.1%

Home O1.5 48.1% 43.9% 2.28 +9.7%

Away O1.5 33.2% 43.1% 2.32 -23.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 0%

O2.5 25%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.6%

H 48% / xG 1.6-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 1–0 10.5%

#4 2–0 8.5%

#5 1–2 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Chanthaburi1.6

Khon Kaen United1.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

CHANTHABURI · PPG 1.48

KHON KAEN UNITED · PPG 0.95

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

59%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.50 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Chanthaburi (H) 47.5%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +18.8%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -14.2%

Khon Kaen United (A) 27.9%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -18.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Chanthaburi face Khon Kaen United in Thailand - Thai League 2 on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chanthaburi a 48% chance, the draw 25% and Khon Kaen United 28%, so Chanthaburi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Chanthaburi and 1.1 for Khon Kaen United (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chanthaburi are averaging 1.48 points per game versus 0.95 for Khon Kaen United. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +22.5%. This match finished 0-1.

Chanthaburi vs Khon Kaen United Prediction— Thailand - Thai League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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