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Zilina W vs Trencin W Prediction— Slovakia - I Liga - Women

Group Stage ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 08:00

Zilina W logo
Zilina W
PPG 0.78 · HOME
1 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Trencin W logo
Trencin W
PPG 0.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-16.3%0-27.6%0-36.1%0-4+6.5%1 1-03.2%1-17.7%1-29.4%1-37.5%1-4+8.1%2 2-02.0%2-14.8%2-25.8%2-34.7%2-4+5.0%3 3-00.8%3-12.0%3-22.4%3-31.9%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.8%4+-21.0%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.8%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 18.2%
Draw 18.5%
Away win 63.4%
Over 2.5 70.7%
Over 3.5 49.6%
BTTS 64.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5 74%
BTTS 52%
Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 71%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-0
xG (home)1.2 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob64.6%

A 63% / xG 1.2-2.4 / O2.5 71% / BTTS 65%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.4%
#2 1–1 7.7%
#3 0–2 7.6%
#4 1–3 7.5%
#5 0–1 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zilina W1.2
Trencin W2.4

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.7% · O3.5 PROB 49.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ZILINA W · PPG 0.78

TRENCIN W · PPG 0.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.78), Away POOR (0.70)

Win probability 1X2

Zilina W (H) 18.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 18.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Trencin W (A) 63.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Zilina W face Trencin W in Slovakia - I Liga - Women on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zilina W a 18% chance, the draw 19% and Trencin W 63%, so Trencin W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Zilina W and 2.4 for Trencin W (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zilina W are averaging 0.78 points per game versus 0.70 for Trencin W. This match finished 1-0.

PredictVantage

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