Today / Georgia - Liga 3 / FC Iberia 1999 II vs Dinamo Tbilisi II
FC Iberia 1999 II vs Dinamo Tbilisi II Prediction— Georgia - Liga 3
Matchday 20 ·Thursday, September 3, 2026, 12:30
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 2.5 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 53.8% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 52% / xG 1.7-0.8 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 53%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%
Form & verdict
FC IBERIA 1999 II · PPG 2.11
DINAMO TBILISI II · PPG 1.56
xG gap +0.87 - moderate Home edge
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
FC Iberia 1999 II face Dinamo Tbilisi II in Georgia - Liga 3 on Thursday, September 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Iberia 1999 II a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Dinamo Tbilisi II 25%, so FC Iberia 1999 II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for FC Iberia 1999 II and 0.8 for Dinamo Tbilisi II (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Iberia 1999 II are averaging 2.11 points per game versus 1.56 for Dinamo Tbilisi II.