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Gonio vs FC Iberia 1999 II Prediction— Georgia - Liga 3

Matchday 19 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 15:00

Gonio

PPG 2.11 · HOME

LAST 5

WWDLD

2 – 2

FULL TIME

FC Iberia 1999 II

PPG 1.78 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWDLD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.6%0-112.3%0-25.2%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.8%1-113.3%1-25.6%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-08.5%2-17.2%2-23.0%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.1%3-12.6%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-10.9%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.1% 58.8% 1.70 -33.5%

Draw 31.8% 25.6% 3.90 +24.0%

Away win 29.1% 27.8% 3.60 +2.9%

Over 2.5 41.3% 57.8% 1.73 -28.5%

Over 3.5 20.7% 38.2% 2.62 -27.5%

BTTS 47.2% 57.1% 1.75 -17.4%

Home O1.5 30.9% 62.1% 1.61 -50.2%

Away O1.5 23.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.2%

H 39% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.6%

#2 1–0 15.8%

#3 1–1 13.3%

#4 0–1 12.3%

#5 2–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gonio1.1

FC Iberia 1999 II0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.3% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GONIO · PPG 2.11

FC IBERIA 1999 II · PPG 1.78

🎯 STRONG BET - Draw signal + Draw value aligned

80%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.24, combined xG 1.93 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Gonio (H) 39.1%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -33.5%

Draw 31.8%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +24.0%

FC Iberia 1999 II (A) 29.1%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +2.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gonio face FC Iberia 1999 II in Georgia - Liga 3 on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gonio a 39% chance, the draw 32% and FC Iberia 1999 II 29%, so Gonio are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Gonio and 0.8 for FC Iberia 1999 II (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gonio are averaging 2.11 points per game versus 1.78 for FC Iberia 1999 II. This match finished 2-2.

Gonio vs FC Iberia 1999 II Prediction— Georgia - Liga 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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