Today / Georgia - Liga 3 / Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi

Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi Prediction— Georgia - Liga 3

Matchday 19 ·Thursday, August 27, 2026, 14:00

Dinamo Tbilisi II

PPG 1.44 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWWD

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Lokomotivi Tbilisi

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWDWD

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.3% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-18.0%0-23.8%0-31.2%0-4+0.4%1 1-012.7%1-112.2%1-25.8%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.8%2-19.3%2-24.4%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.0%3-14.8%3-22.3%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-12.6%4+-21.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.1% 52.6% 1.90 -8.6%

Draw 24.6% 27.8% 3.60 -6.9%

Away win 27.3% 31.3% 3.20 -7.6%

Over 2.5 53.5% 61.7% 1.62 -13.3%

Over 3.5 31.5% 38.5% 2.60 -18.1%

BTTS 54.3% 63.7% 1.57 -14.8%

Home O1.5 41.2% — — —

Away O1.5 25.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.3%

H 48% / xG 1.5-1.0 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.2%

#2 1–0 12.7%

#3 2–0 9.8%

#4 2–1 9.3%

#5 0–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo Tbilisi II1.5

Lokomotivi Tbilisi1.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO TBILISI II · PPG 1.44

LOKOMOTIVI TBILISI · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.58 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo Tbilisi II (H) 48.1%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -8.6%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -6.9%

Lokomotivi Tbilisi (A) 27.3%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -7.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo Tbilisi II face Lokomotivi Tbilisi in Georgia - Liga 3 on Thursday, August 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo Tbilisi II a 48% chance, the draw 25% and Lokomotivi Tbilisi 27%, so Dinamo Tbilisi II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Dinamo Tbilisi II and 1.0 for Lokomotivi Tbilisi (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo Tbilisi II are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.00 for Lokomotivi Tbilisi. This match finished 1-1.

Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi Prediction— Georgia - Liga 3

Match Preview & Prediction

More Georgia - Liga 3 Predictions