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Sydney Utd U20 vs St George Saints U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Matchday 30 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 07:30

Sydney Utd U20

PPG 2.07 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWLW

8 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

St George Saints U20

PPG 0.29 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 83% chance

Combined xG of 5.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-10.5%0-20.3%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-02.1%1-12.3%1-21.2%1-30.4%1-4+0.2%2 2-04.5%2-14.8%2-22.6%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.3%3-16.8%3-23.6%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-020.7%4+-122.3%4+-212.0%4+-34.3%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 76.2% — — —

Draw 15.6% — — —

Away win 8.2% — — —

Over 2.5 83.1% — — —

Over 3.5 59.9% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 78.3% — — —

Away O1.5 32.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 7.1%

#2 3–1 6.8%

#3 4–0 6.6%

#4 3–0 6.3%

#5 1–1 2.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sydney Utd U204.2

St George Saints U201.1

COMBINED 5.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 83.1% · O3.5 PROB 59.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SYDNEY UTD U20 · PPG 2.07

ST GEORGE SAINTS U20 · PPG 0.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

83%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +3.13 for Home, form 2.07 vs 0.29 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Sydney Utd U20 (H) 76.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

St George Saints U20 (A) 8.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sydney Utd U20 face St George Saints U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sydney Utd U20 a 76% chance, the draw 16% and St George Saints U20 8%, so Sydney Utd U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.2 for Sydney Utd U20 and 1.1 for St George Saints U20 (5.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sydney Utd U20 are averaging 2.07 points per game versus 0.29 for St George Saints U20. This match finished 8-4.

Sydney Utd U20 vs St George Saints U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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