Today / Australia - Npl Nsw U20 / Wollongong Wolves U20 vs Manly Utd U20

Wollongong Wolves U20 vs Manly Utd U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Matchday 30 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 03:00

Wollongong Wolves U20

PPG 1.50 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWWW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Manly Utd U20

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWLW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 68% chance

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-15.2%0-24.6%0-32.8%0-4+1.8%1 1-05.1%1-19.1%1-28.1%1-34.8%1-4+3.2%2 2-04.5%2-18.0%2-27.1%2-34.2%2-4+2.8%3 3-02.6%3-14.7%3-24.2%3-32.5%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-13.0%4+-22.7%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.5% — — —

Draw 21.7% — — —

Away win 34.8% — — —

Over 2.5 68.2% — — —

Over 3.5 45.0% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.0%

#2 1–1 9.1%

#3 1–2 8.1%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 3–1 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wollongong Wolves U201.8

Manly Utd U201.8

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

WOLLONGONG WOLVES U20 · PPG 1.50

MANLY UTD U20 · PPG 1.36

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

68%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.03 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Wollongong Wolves U20 (H) 43.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Manly Utd U20 (A) 34.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wollongong Wolves U20 face Manly Utd U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wollongong Wolves U20 a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Manly Utd U20 35%, so Wollongong Wolves U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Wollongong Wolves U20 and 1.8 for Manly Utd U20 (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wollongong Wolves U20 are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.36 for Manly Utd U20. This match finished 1-0.

Wollongong Wolves U20 vs Manly Utd U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - Npl Nsw U20 Predictions