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Rockdale Ilinden U20 vs UNSW U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Matchday 30 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 03:00

Rockdale Ilinden U20

PPG 1.36 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLWW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

UNSW U20

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWDLL

// Model verdict

BTTS 69% chance

xG gap +0.02 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-14.1%0-23.9%0-32.5%0-4+1.8%1 1-04.1%1-17.9%1-27.5%1-34.8%1-4+3.6%2 2-04.0%2-17.6%2-27.3%2-34.7%2-4+3.5%3 3-02.6%3-14.9%3-24.7%3-33.0%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-13.7%4+-23.6%4+-32.3%4+-4+1.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.6% — — —

Draw 20.9% — — —

Away win 43.5% — — —

Over 2.5 68.2% — — —

Over 3.5 48.7% — — —

BTTS 69.2% — — —

Home O1.5 56.3% — — —

Away O1.5 56.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.5%

#2 1–1 7.9%

#3 2–1✓ 7.6%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 1–3 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rockdale Ilinden U201.9

UNSW U201.9

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 48.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ROCKDALE ILINDEN U20 · PPG 1.36

UNSW U20 · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

69%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.02 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Rockdale Ilinden U20 (H) 35.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

UNSW U20 (A) 43.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rockdale Ilinden U20 face UNSW U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rockdale Ilinden U20 a 36% chance, the draw 21% and UNSW U20 44%, so UNSW U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Rockdale Ilinden U20 and 1.9 for UNSW U20 (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rockdale Ilinden U20 are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 0.86 for UNSW U20. This match finished 2-1.

Rockdale Ilinden U20 vs UNSW U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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