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Marconi S. U20 vs NWS Spirit U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Matchday 30 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 03:00

Marconi S. U20

PPG 2.21 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWWL

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

NWS Spirit U20

PPG 1.64 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLDLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 64% chance

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-14.5%0-22.7%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-07.9%1-19.4%1-25.6%1-32.2%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.2%2-19.8%2-25.8%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-05.7%3-16.8%3-24.0%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-04.8%4+-15.7%4+-23.4%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.5% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 24.0% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 43.2% — — —

BTTS 61.1% — — —

Home O1.5 59.6% — — —

Away O1.5 34.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.2%

#4 1–2 5.6%

#5 3–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Marconi S. U202.1

NWS Spirit U201.2

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 43.2%

Form & verdict PPG

MARCONI S. U20 · PPG 2.21

NWS SPIRIT U20 · PPG 1.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

64%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.89 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Marconi S. U20 (H) 53.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

NWS Spirit U20 (A) 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Marconi S. U20 face NWS Spirit U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Marconi S. U20 a 54% chance, the draw 23% and NWS Spirit U20 24%, so Marconi S. U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Marconi S. U20 and 1.2 for NWS Spirit U20 (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Marconi S. U20 are averaging 2.21 points per game versus 1.64 for NWS Spirit U20. This match finished 1-0.

Marconi S. U20 vs NWS Spirit U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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