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Blacktown City U20 vs WS Wanderers U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Matchday 30 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 03:00

Blacktown City U20

PPG 1.50 · HOME

LAST 5

DDDWW

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

WS Wanderers U20

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 72% chance

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-12.8%0-22.5%0-31.5%0-4+1.0%1 1-03.6%1-16.6%1-25.9%1-33.6%1-4+2.4%2 2-04.3%2-17.8%2-27.0%2-34.2%2-4+2.9%3 3-03.4%3-16.1%3-25.6%3-33.3%3-4+2.3%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-16.4%4+-25.8%4+-33.5%4+-4+2.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.1% — — —

Draw 20.5% — — —

Away win 28.4% — — —

Over 2.5 71.5% — — —

Over 3.5 49.4% — — —

BTTS 69.2% — — —

Home O1.5 65.8% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.8%

#2 1–1 6.6%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 3–1✓ 6.1%

#5 1–2 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Blacktown City U202.4

WS Wanderers U201.8

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.5% · O3.5 PROB 49.4%

Form & verdict PPG

BLACKTOWN CITY U20 · PPG 1.50

WS WANDERERS U20 · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

72%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.56 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Blacktown City U20 (H) 51.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

WS Wanderers U20 (A) 28.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Blacktown City U20 face WS Wanderers U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Blacktown City U20 a 51% chance, the draw 21% and WS Wanderers U20 28%, so Blacktown City U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Blacktown City U20 and 1.8 for WS Wanderers U20 (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Blacktown City U20 are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.29 for WS Wanderers U20. This match finished 3-1.

Blacktown City U20 vs WS Wanderers U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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