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APIA Leichhardt U20 vs St. George City U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Matchday 30 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 02:30

APIA Leichhardt U20

PPG 2.64 · HOME

LAST 5

DLDWL

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

St. George City U20

PPG 0.93 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLDW

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5 77% chance

xG gap +2.01 for Home, form 2.64 vs 0.93 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-11.9%0-20.9%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-05.7%1-15.6%1-22.7%1-30.9%1-4+0.3%2 2-08.5%2-18.3%2-24.0%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.5%3-18.2%3-24.0%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-013.2%4+-112.8%4+-26.3%4+-32.0%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.0% — — —

Draw 15.3% — — —

Away win 20.7% — — —

Over 2.5 68.2% — — —

Over 3.5 48.2% — — —

BTTS 60.6% — — —

Home O1.5 77.3% — — —

Away O1.5 27.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 8.5%

#2 3–0 8.5%

#3 2–1 8.3%

#4 3–1 8.2%

#5 1–2 2.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

APIA Leichhardt U203.0

St. George City U201.0

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 48.2%

Form & verdict PPG

APIA LEICHHARDT U20 · PPG 2.64

ST. GEORGE CITY U20 · PPG 0.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

77%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.01 for Home, form 2.64 vs 0.93 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

APIA Leichhardt U20 (H) 64.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

St. George City U20 (A) 20.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

APIA Leichhardt U20 face St. George City U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives APIA Leichhardt U20 a 64% chance, the draw 15% and St. George City U20 21%, so APIA Leichhardt U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for APIA Leichhardt U20 and 1.0 for St. George City U20 (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, APIA Leichhardt U20 are averaging 2.64 points per game versus 0.93 for St. George City U20. This match finished 1-3.

APIA Leichhardt U20 vs St. George City U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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