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Silver Strikers vs Dedza Dynamos Prediction— Malawi - Super League

Matchday 14 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 12:30

Silver Strikers

PPG 3.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWWD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Dedza Dynamos

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWDDD

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +3.07 for Home, form 3.00 vs 0.83 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-10.8%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-08.7%1-12.6%1-20.4%1-30.0%1-4+0.0%2 2-014.6%2-14.3%2-20.6%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-016.3%3-14.8%3-20.7%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-032.3%4+-19.6%4+-21.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 76.6% 82.0% 1.22 -6.6%

Draw 15.8% 21.1% 4.75 -15.0%

Away win 7.6% 9.1% 11.00 -9.8%

Over 2.5 63.1% 50.0% 2.00 +26.2%

Over 3.5 43.5% 36.4% 2.75 +19.6%

BTTS 43.6% 40.0% 2.50 +9.0%

Home O1.5 78.4% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 71%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)3.4 xG (away)0.3 BTTS prob43.6%

H 77% / xG 3.4-0.3 / O2.5 63% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 16.3%

#2 2–0 14.6%

#3 4–0 13.7%

#4 5–0 9.2%

#5 0–0✓ 2.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Silver Strikers3.4

Dedza Dynamos0.3

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SILVER STRIKERS · PPG 3.00

DEDZA DYNAMOS · PPG 0.83

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +3.07 for Home, form 3.00 vs 0.83 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Silver Strikers (H) 76.6%

ODDS 1.22 · IMPLIED 82.0% EV -6.6%

Draw 15.8%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -15.0%

Dedza Dynamos (A) 7.6%

ODDS 11.00 · IMPLIED 9.1% EV -9.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Silver Strikers face Dedza Dynamos in Malawi - Super League on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Silver Strikers a 77% chance, the draw 16% and Dedza Dynamos 8%, so Silver Strikers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.4 for Silver Strikers and 0.3 for Dedza Dynamos (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Silver Strikers are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 0.83 for Dedza Dynamos. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +26.2%. This match finished 0-0.

Silver Strikers vs Dedza Dynamos Prediction— Malawi - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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