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Sydney Utd U20 vs APIA Leichhardt U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Matchday 29 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 06:30

Sydney Utd U20

PPG 2.23 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWLW

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

APIA Leichhardt U20

PPG 2.23 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLDWL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 65% chance

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-15.3%0-24.2%0-32.2%0-4+1.2%1 1-06.1%1-19.6%1-27.6%1-34.0%1-4+2.2%2 2-05.5%2-18.7%2-26.9%2-33.6%2-4+2.0%3 3-03.4%3-15.3%3-24.2%3-32.2%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-13.6%4+-22.9%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.8% — — —

Draw 22.2% — — —

Away win 29.0% — — —

Over 2.5 65.0% — — —

Over 3.5 43.5% — — —

BTTS 63.2% — — —

Home O1.5 50.3% — — —

Away O1.5 48.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.7%

#2 1–1 9.6%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 2–0 5.5%

#5 3–1 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sydney Utd U201.8

APIA Leichhardt U201.6

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.0% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SYDNEY UTD U20 · PPG 2.23

APIA LEICHHARDT U20 · PPG 2.23

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

65%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.24 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sydney Utd U20 (H) 48.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

APIA Leichhardt U20 (A) 29.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sydney Utd U20 face APIA Leichhardt U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sydney Utd U20 a 49% chance, the draw 22% and APIA Leichhardt U20 29%, so Sydney Utd U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Sydney Utd U20 and 1.6 for APIA Leichhardt U20 (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sydney Utd U20 are averaging 2.23 points per game versus 2.23 for APIA Leichhardt U20. This match finished 0-3.

Sydney Utd U20 vs APIA Leichhardt U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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