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Wollongong Wolves U20 vs WS Wanderers U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Matchday 29 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 03:00

Wollongong Wolves U20

PPG 1.38 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWWW

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

WS Wanderers U20

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 70% chance

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-12.7%0-22.2%0-31.2%0-4+0.7%1 1-04.1%1-16.7%1-25.5%1-33.0%1-4+1.8%2 2-05.0%2-18.2%2-26.7%2-33.7%2-4+2.2%3 3-04.1%3-16.8%3-25.5%3-33.0%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-04.6%4+-17.5%4+-26.1%4+-33.3%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.3% — — —

Draw 20.8% — — —

Away win 27.9% — — —

Over 2.5 70.1% — — —

Over 3.5 48.1% — — —

BTTS 69.0% — — —

Home O1.5 65.1% — — —

Away O1.5 48.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.2%

#2 1–1 6.7%

#3 2–2 6.7%

#4 1–2 5.5%

#5 3–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wollongong Wolves U202.5

WS Wanderers U201.6

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 70.1% · O3.5 PROB 48.1%

Form & verdict PPG

WOLLONGONG WOLVES U20 · PPG 1.38

WS WANDERERS U20 · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

70%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.83 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Wollongong Wolves U20 (H) 51.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

WS Wanderers U20 (A) 27.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wollongong Wolves U20 face WS Wanderers U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wollongong Wolves U20 a 51% chance, the draw 21% and WS Wanderers U20 28%, so Wollongong Wolves U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Wollongong Wolves U20 and 1.6 for WS Wanderers U20 (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wollongong Wolves U20 are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.38 for WS Wanderers U20. This match finished 4-1.

Wollongong Wolves U20 vs WS Wanderers U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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