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Sydney Olympic U20 vs Marconi S. U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Matchday 29 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 03:00

Sydney Olympic U20

PPG 0.17 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLLL

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Marconi S. U20

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWL

// Model verdict

Away 70% chance

xG gap -1.88 for Away, form 0.17 vs 1.43

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-18.4%0-211.2%0-310.0%0-4+12.7%1 1-02.5%1-16.6%1-28.8%1-37.9%1-4+10.0%2 2-01.0%2-12.6%2-23.5%2-33.1%2-4+4.0%3 3-00.3%3-10.7%3-20.9%3-30.8%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.8% — — —

Draw 16.4% — — —

Away win 69.8% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 43.5% — — —

BTTS 54.7% — — —

Home O1.5 30.6% — — —

Away O1.5 65.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2✓ 11.2%

#2 0–3 10.0%

#3 1–2 8.8%

#4 1–1 6.6%

#5 1–3 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sydney Olympic U200.8

Marconi S. U202.7

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SYDNEY OLYMPIC U20 · PPG 0.17

MARCONI S. U20 · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

70%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -1.88 for Away, form 0.17 vs 1.43

Win probability 1X2

Sydney Olympic U20 (H) 13.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Marconi S. U20 (A) 69.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sydney Olympic U20 face Marconi S. U20 in Australia - Npl Nsw U20 on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sydney Olympic U20 a 14% chance, the draw 16% and Marconi S. U20 70%, so Marconi S. U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Sydney Olympic U20 and 2.7 for Marconi S. U20 (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sydney Olympic U20 are averaging 0.17 points per game versus 1.43 for Marconi S. U20. This match finished 0-2.

Sydney Olympic U20 vs Marconi S. U20 Prediction— Australia - Npl Nsw U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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