Today / Norway - 1. Division Women / Frigg Oslo FK W vs Odd W

Frigg Oslo FK W vs Odd W Prediction— Norway - 1. Division Women

Matchday 14 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 12:00

Frigg Oslo FK W logo
Frigg Oslo FK W
PPG 0.50 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Odd W logo
Odd W
PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -1.22 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-112.1%0-212.2%0-38.2%0-4+6.6%1 1-04.8%1-19.7%1-29.7%1-36.5%1-4+5.2%2 2-01.9%2-13.8%2-23.9%2-32.6%2-4+2.1%3 3-00.5%3-11.0%3-21.0%3-30.7%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 16.4%
Draw 23.6%
Away win 60.0%
Over 2.5 57.5%
Over 3.5 34.4%
BTTS 53.1%
Home O1.5 30.2%
Away O1.5 53.8%

League track record

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 75%
O2.5 50%
BTTS 58%
Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 47%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.8 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob53.1%

A 60% / xG 0.8-2.0 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 12.2%
#2 1–1 9.7%
#3 0–1 12.1%
#4 1–2 9.7%
#5 0–3 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Frigg Oslo FK W0.8
Odd W2.0

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.5% · O3.5 PROB 34.4%

Form & verdict PPG

FRIGG OSLO FK W · PPG 0.50

ODD W · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

xG gap -1.22 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Frigg Oslo FK W (H) 16.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Odd W (A) 60.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Frigg Oslo FK W face Odd W in Norway - 1. Division Women on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Frigg Oslo FK W a 16% chance, the draw 24% and Odd W 60%, so Odd W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Frigg Oslo FK W and 2.0 for Odd W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Frigg Oslo FK W are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.17 for Odd W.

PredictVantage

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