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Grei W vs Kolbotn W Prediction— Norway - 1. Division Women

Matchday 14 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 12:00

Grei W

PPG 0.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kolbotn W

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-14.5%0-24.3%0-32.8%0-4+2.1%1 1-04.3%1-18.2%1-27.9%1-35.1%1-4+3.8%2 2-03.9%2-17.5%2-27.3%2-34.7%2-4+3.5%3 3-02.4%3-14.6%3-24.4%3-32.8%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-13.2%4+-23.1%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.5% — — —

Draw 22.6% — — —

Away win 41.8% — — —

Over 2.5 67.3% — — —

Over 3.5 43.0% — — —

BTTS 63.3% — — —

Home O1.5 52.4% — — —

Away O1.5 53.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 75%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob63.3%

A 42% / xG 1.8-1.9 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.2%

#2 1–2 7.9%

#3 2–1 7.5%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 1–3 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Grei W1.8

Kolbotn W1.9

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GREI W · PPG 0.43

KOLBOTN W · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.09 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Grei W (H) 35.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kolbotn W (A) 41.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Grei W face Kolbotn W in Norway - 1. Division Women on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Grei W a 36% chance, the draw 23% and Kolbotn W 42%, so Kolbotn W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Grei W and 1.9 for Kolbotn W (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Grei W are averaging 0.43 points per game versus 1.17 for Kolbotn W.

Grei W vs Kolbotn W Prediction— Norway - 1. Division Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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