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Tiszaújváros vs Tiszafuredi VSE Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northeast

Northeast · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 15:30

Tiszaújváros

PPG 1.16 · HOME

UPCOMING

Tiszafuredi VSE

PPG 1.48 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.02 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-19.8%0-26.2%0-32.6%0-4+1.1%1 1-010.0%1-112.7%1-28.0%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.4%2-18.2%2-25.2%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-02.8%3-13.5%3-22.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.5%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.2% — — —

Draw 31.6% — — —

Away win 33.2% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 37.9% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob53.1%

D 32% / xG 1.3-1.3 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0 7.8%

#3 2–1 8.2%

#4 1–0 10.0%

#5 1–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tiszaújváros1.3

Tiszafuredi VSE1.3

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

TISZAÚJVÁROS · PPG 1.16

TISZAFUREDI VSE · PPG 1.48

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.02 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Tiszaújváros (H) 35.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tiszafuredi VSE (A) 33.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tiszaújváros face Tiszafuredi VSE in Hungary - NB III - Northeast on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tiszaújváros a 35% chance, the draw 32% and Tiszafuredi VSE 33%, so Tiszaújváros are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Tiszaújváros and 1.3 for Tiszafuredi VSE (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tiszaújváros are averaging 1.16 points per game versus 1.48 for Tiszafuredi VSE.

Tiszaújváros vs Tiszafuredi VSE Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northeast

Match Preview & Prediction

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