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Frýdek-Místek vs Vsetín Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

MSFL · Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 14:30

Frýdek-Místek

PPG 2.02 · HOME

UPCOMING

Vsetín

PPG 1.10 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.16 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-14.5%0-22.1%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-010.1%1-19.5%1-24.4%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.6%2-19.9%2-24.6%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-07.4%3-16.9%3-23.2%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-06.3%4+-15.9%4+-22.7%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.4% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 22.1% — — —

Over 2.5 59.5% — — —

Over 3.5 36.5% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 59.8% — — —

Away O1.5 26.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 83%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.5%

H 55% / xG 2.1-0.9 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 2–0 10.6%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 10.1%

#5 3–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Frýdek-Místek2.1

Vsetín0.9

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.5% · O3.5 PROB 36.5%

Form & verdict PPG

FRÝDEK-MÍSTEK · PPG 2.02

VSETÍN · PPG 1.10

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.16 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Frýdek-Místek (H) 55.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vsetín (A) 22.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Frýdek-Místek face Vsetín in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Frýdek-Místek a 55% chance, the draw 23% and Vsetín 22%, so Frýdek-Místek are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Frýdek-Místek and 0.9 for Vsetín (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Frýdek-Místek are averaging 2.02 points per game versus 1.10 for Vsetín.

Frýdek-Místek vs Vsetín Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

Match Preview & Prediction

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