Today / Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL / Vsetín vs Sigma Olomouc II

Vsetín vs Sigma Olomouc II Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

MSFL - 1 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 15:00

Vsetín logo
Vsetín
PPG 1.56 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Sigma Olomouc II logo
Sigma Olomouc II
PPG 1.79 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.40 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-18.1%0-27.0%0-34.1%0-4+2.6%1 1-06.2%1-110.8%1-29.3%1-35.4%1-4+3.5%2 2-04.1%2-17.2%2-26.2%2-33.6%2-4+2.3%3 3-01.8%3-13.2%3-22.8%3-31.6%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.4%4+-21.2%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 32.3%
Draw 24.8%
Away win 42.9%
Over 2.5 61.3%
Over 3.5 39.0%
BTTS 62.1%
Home O1.5 38.3%
Away O1.5 48.0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 50%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob62.1%

A 43% / xG 1.3-1.7 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%
#2 1–2 9.3%
#3 2–1 7.2%
#4 0–2 7.0%
#5 0–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vsetín1.3
Sigma Olomouc II1.7

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.3% · O3.5 PROB 39.0%

Form & verdict PPG

VSETÍN · PPG 1.56

SIGMA OLOMOUC II · PPG 1.79

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

xG gap -0.40 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Vsetín (H) 32.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Sigma Olomouc II (A) 42.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vsetín face Sigma Olomouc II in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vsetín a 32% chance, the draw 25% and Sigma Olomouc II 43%, so Sigma Olomouc II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Vsetín and 1.7 for Sigma Olomouc II (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vsetín are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.79 for Sigma Olomouc II.

PredictVantage

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