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KIF Örebro W vs Örebro SK W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Matchday 14 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 11:00

KIF Örebro W

PPG 2.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Örebro SK W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-13.7%0-22.5%0-31.1%0-4+0.5%1 1-06.3%1-18.4%1-25.5%1-32.4%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.1%2-19.4%2-26.2%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-05.3%3-17.0%3-24.7%3-32.0%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-05.1%4+-16.7%4+-24.4%4+-31.9%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.1% — — —

Draw 22.4% — — —

Away win 23.5% — — —

Over 2.5 65.7% — — —

Over 3.5 43.0% — — —

BTTS 63.2% — — —

Home O1.5 63.0% — — —

Away O1.5 42.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob63.2%

H 54% / xG 2.2-1.3 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.4%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 2–0 7.1%

#4 3–1 7.0%

#5 2–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KIF Örebro W2.2

Örebro SK W1.3

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.7% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KIF ÖREBRO W · PPG 2.50

ÖREBRO SK W · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.93 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

KIF Örebro W (H) 54.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Örebro SK W (A) 23.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

KIF Örebro W face Örebro SK W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KIF Örebro W a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Örebro SK W 24%, so KIF Örebro W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for KIF Örebro W and 1.3 for Örebro SK W (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KIF Örebro W are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Örebro SK W.

KIF Örebro W vs Örebro SK W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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