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Sandviken W vs Elfsborg W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Matchday 13 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 12:00

Sandviken W

PPG 0.33 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Elfsborg W

PPG 2.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -2.15 for Away, form 0.33 vs 2.60

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-112.6%0-216.3%0-314.0%0-4+16.9%1 1-02.1%1-15.5%1-27.1%1-36.1%1-4+7.4%2 2-00.5%2-11.2%2-21.5%2-31.3%2-4+1.6%3 3-00.1%3-10.2%3-20.2%3-30.2%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.4% — — —

Draw 16.8% — — —

Away win 69.8% — — —

Over 2.5 60.4% — — —

Over 3.5 36.8% — — —

BTTS 46.8% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 65.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)0.4 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob46.8%

A 70% / xG 0.4-2.6 / O2.5 60% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 16.3%

#2 0–3 14.0%

#3 0–1 12.6%

#4 0–4✓ 9.1%

#5 1–2 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandviken W0.4

Elfsborg W2.6

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 36.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDVIKEN W · PPG 0.33

ELFSBORG W · PPG 2.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -2.15 for Away, form 0.33 vs 2.60

Win probability 1X2

Sandviken W (H) 13.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Elfsborg W (A) 69.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandviken W face Elfsborg W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandviken W a 13% chance, the draw 17% and Elfsborg W 70%, so Elfsborg W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.4 for Sandviken W and 2.6 for Elfsborg W (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandviken W are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 2.60 for Elfsborg W. This match finished 0-4.

Sandviken W vs Elfsborg W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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