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Gonio vs Iveria Khashuri Prediction— Georgia - Liga 3

Matchday 17 ·Thursday, August 13, 2026, 15:00

Gonio

PPG 2.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Iveria Khashuri

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.69 for Home, form 2.25 vs 0.88 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-13.4%0-20.9%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-014.2%1-17.5%1-22.0%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.7%2-18.4%2-22.2%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.6%3-16.2%3-21.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-010.9%4+-15.8%4+-21.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.3% — — —

Draw 20.3% — — —

Away win 13.4% — — —

Over 2.5 56.8% — — —

Over 3.5 34.4% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 63.0% — — —

Away O1.5 16.7% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob47.7%

H 66% / xG 2.2-0.5 / O2.5 57% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 15.7%

#2 1–0 14.2%

#3 3–0 11.6%

#4 1–1 7.5%

#5 2–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gonio2.2

Iveria Khashuri0.5

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.8% · O3.5 PROB 34.4%

Form & verdict PPG

GONIO · PPG 2.25

IVERIA KHASHURI · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.69 for Home, form 2.25 vs 0.88 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Gonio (H) 66.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Iveria Khashuri (A) 13.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gonio face Iveria Khashuri in Georgia - Liga 3 on Thursday, August 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gonio a 66% chance, the draw 20% and Iveria Khashuri 13%, so Gonio are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Gonio and 0.5 for Iveria Khashuri (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gonio are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 0.88 for Iveria Khashuri.

Gonio vs Iveria Khashuri Prediction— Georgia - Liga 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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