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Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Iberia 2010 Prediction— Georgia - Liga 3

Matchday 17 ·Thursday, August 13, 2026, 14:00

Dinamo Tbilisi II

PPG 1.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Iberia 2010

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +2.28 for Home, form 1.25 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-11.9%0-20.5%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-09.5%1-15.3%1-21.5%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-013.5%2-17.5%2-22.1%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-012.8%3-17.1%3-22.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-018.2%4+-110.1%4+-22.8%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 76.4% — — —

Draw 15.9% — — —

Away win 7.7% — — —

Over 2.5 64.1% — — —

Over 3.5 42.6% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 74.3% — — —

Away O1.5 16.7% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 63%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob47.7%

H 76% / xG 2.8-0.6 / O2.5 64% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.5%

#2 3–0 12.8%

#3 4–0 9.1%

#4 1–0 9.5%

#5 2–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo Tbilisi II2.8

Iberia 20100.6

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 42.6%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO TBILISI II · PPG 1.25

IBERIA 2010 · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.28 for Home, form 1.25 vs 0.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo Tbilisi II (H) 76.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Iberia 2010 (A) 7.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo Tbilisi II face Iberia 2010 in Georgia - Liga 3 on Thursday, August 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo Tbilisi II a 76% chance, the draw 16% and Iberia 2010 8%, so Dinamo Tbilisi II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Dinamo Tbilisi II and 0.6 for Iberia 2010 (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo Tbilisi II are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.00 for Iberia 2010.

Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Iberia 2010 Prediction— Georgia - Liga 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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