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Quixadá U20 vs Fortaleza U20 Prediction— Brazil - Cearense U20

Semi-finals ·Wednesday, August 12, 2026, 22:00

Quixadá U20

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Fortaleza U20

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

xG gap -0.62 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.1%0-121.8%0-212.4%0-34.7%0-4+1.7%1 1-09.8%1-111.2%1-26.4%1-32.4%1-4+0.9%2 2-02.5%2-12.9%2-21.7%2-30.6%2-4+0.2%3 3-00.4%3-10.5%3-20.3%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 15.9% — — —

Draw 32.4% — — —

Away win 51.7% — — —

Over 2.5 34.2% — — —

Over 3.5 17.7% — — —

BTTS 44.6% — — —

Home O1.5 29.4% — — —

Away O1.5 34.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 86%

O2.5 100%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 86%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob44.6%

A 52% / xG 0.5-1.1 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.1%

#2 0–1 21.8%

#3 1–1 11.2%

#4 0–2 12.4%

#5 1–0 9.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Quixadá U200.5

Fortaleza U201.1

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.7%

Form & verdict PPG

QUIXADÁ U20 · PPG 1.00

FORTALEZA U20 · PPG 2.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.62 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Quixadá U20 (H) 15.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fortaleza U20 (A) 51.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Quixadá U20 face Fortaleza U20 in Brazil - Cearense U20 on Wednesday, August 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Quixadá U20 a 16% chance, the draw 32% and Fortaleza U20 52%, so Fortaleza U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for Quixadá U20 and 1.1 for Fortaleza U20 (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Quixadá U20 are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.50 for Fortaleza U20.

Quixadá U20 vs Fortaleza U20 Prediction— Brazil - Cearense U20

Match Preview & Prediction

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