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Quixadá U20 vs Floresta CE U20 Prediction— Brazil - Cearense U20

Quarter-finals ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 18:00

Quixadá U20 logo
Quixadá U20
PPG 1.33 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Floresta CE U20 logo
Floresta CE U20
PPG 2.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-023.4%0-117.4%0-26.5%0-31.6%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.6%1-112.3%1-24.6%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-05.9%2-14.4%2-21.6%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.4%3-11.0%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 33.7%
Draw 34.1%
Away win 32.3%
Over 2.5 33.3%
Over 3.5 13.0%
BTTS 46.4%
Home O1.5 33.3%
Away O1.5 20.1%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob46.4%

D 34% / xG 0.7-0.7 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 23.4%
#2 0–1 17.4%
#3 1–0 16.6%
#4 1–1 12.3%
#5 0–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Quixadá U200.7
Floresta CE U200.7

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.3% · O3.5 PROB 13.0%

Form & verdict PPG

QUIXADÁ U20 · PPG 1.33

FLORESTA CE U20 · PPG 2.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...
45%
HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.03, combined xG 1.45 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Quixadá U20 (H) 33.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 34.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Floresta CE U20 (A) 32.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Quixadá U20 face Floresta CE U20 in Brazil - Cearense U20 on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Quixadá U20 a 34% chance, the draw 34% and Floresta CE U20 32%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Quixadá U20 and 0.7 for Floresta CE U20 (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Quixadá U20 are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 2.33 for Floresta CE U20.

PredictVantage

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