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Anjos do Céu U20 vs Tirol U20 Prediction— Brazil - Cearense U20

Quarter-finals ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 18:00

Anjos do Céu U20 logo
Anjos do Céu U20
PPG 2.00 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Tirol U20 logo
Tirol U20
PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-111.5%0-211.5%0-37.7%0-4+6.1%1 1-04.9%1-19.8%1-29.8%1-36.6%1-4+5.2%2 2-02.1%2-14.2%2-24.2%2-32.8%2-4+2.2%3 3-00.6%3-11.2%3-21.2%3-30.8%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 21.8%
Draw 21.9%
Away win 56.3%
Over 2.5 56.4%
Over 3.5 34.8%
BTTS 52.3%
Home O1.5 33.3%
Away O1.5 49.0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 43%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.9 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob52.3%

A 56% / xG 0.9-2.0 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.5%
#2 1–1 9.8%
#3 0–1 11.5%
#4 1–2 9.8%
#5 0–3 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Anjos do Céu U200.9
Tirol U202.0

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.4% · O3.5 PROB 34.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ANJOS DO CÉU U20 · PPG 2.00

TIROL U20 · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

xG gap -1.15 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Anjos do Céu U20 (H) 21.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Tirol U20 (A) 56.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Anjos do Céu U20 face Tirol U20 in Brazil - Cearense U20 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Anjos do Céu U20 a 22% chance, the draw 22% and Tirol U20 56%, so Tirol U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Anjos do Céu U20 and 2.0 for Tirol U20 (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Anjos do Céu U20 are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.67 for Tirol U20.

PredictVantage

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