Today / Brazil - Cearense U20 / Ferroviario U20 vs Fortaleza U20

Ferroviario U20 vs Fortaleza U20 Prediction— Brazil - Cearense U20

Quarter-finals ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 18:00

Ferroviario U20

PPG 2.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Fortaleza U20

PPG 2.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-024.4%0-120.3%0-28.5%0-32.3%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.1%1-111.7%1-24.9%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-04.1%2-13.4%2-21.4%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-00.8%3-10.7%3-20.3%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.7% — — —

Draw 34.3% — — —

Away win 37.0% — — —

Over 2.5 33.3% — — —

Over 3.5 13.0% — — —

BTTS 46.4% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 20.1% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob46.4%

D 34% / xG 0.6-0.8 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 24.4%

#2 0–1 20.3%

#3 1–1 11.7%

#4 1–0 14.1%

#5 0–2 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ferroviario U200.6

Fortaleza U200.8

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.3% · O3.5 PROB 13.0%

Form & verdict PPG

FERROVIARIO U20 · PPG 2.50

FORTALEZA U20 · PPG 2.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.25, combined xG 1.41 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Ferroviario U20 (H) 28.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 34.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fortaleza U20 (A) 37.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ferroviario U20 face Fortaleza U20 in Brazil - Cearense U20 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ferroviario U20 a 29% chance, the draw 34% and Fortaleza U20 37%, so Fortaleza U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Ferroviario U20 and 0.8 for Fortaleza U20 (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ferroviario U20 are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 2.33 for Fortaleza U20.

Ferroviario U20 vs Fortaleza U20 Prediction— Brazil - Cearense U20

Match Preview & Prediction

More Brazil - Cearense U20 Predictions