Today / Hungary - NB III - Northwest / Tatabánya vs Bicskei

Tatabánya vs Bicskei Prediction— Hungary - NB III - Northwest

Northwest · Matchday 2 ·Wednesday, August 12, 2026, 15:30

Tatabánya logo
Tatabánya
PPG 1.78 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Bicskei logo
Bicskei
PPG 1.04 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-13.3%0-21.9%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-06.8%1-17.9%1-24.6%1-31.8%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.1%2-19.5%2-25.6%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.5%3-17.6%3-24.4%3-31.7%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-06.9%4+-18.0%4+-24.7%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 56.9%
Draw 21.2%
Away win 21.9%
Over 2.5 65.2%
Over 3.5 42.9%
BTTS 61.6%
Home O1.5 63.0%
Away O1.5 34.7%

League track record

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%
O2.5 100%
BTTS 33%
Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob61.6%

H 57% / xG 2.4-1.2 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.5%
#2 1–1 7.9%
#3 2–0 8.1%
#4 3–1 7.6%
#5 3–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tatabánya2.4
Bicskei1.2

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.2% · O3.5 PROB 42.9%

Form & verdict PPG

TATABÁNYA · PPG 1.78

BICSKEI · PPG 1.04

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.23 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Tatabánya (H) 56.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Bicskei (A) 21.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tatabánya face Bicskei in Hungary - NB III - Northwest on Wednesday, August 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tatabánya a 57% chance, the draw 21% and Bicskei 22%, so Tatabánya are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Tatabánya and 1.2 for Bicskei (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tatabánya are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 1.04 for Bicskei.

PredictVantage

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