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Turkey - Süper Lig
Regular Season - 30
Papara Park· Trabzon
Sunday, April 19, 2026
17:00
Trabzonspor
PPG 2.21
1-1
HIT MostLikelyScore
Basaksehir
PPG 1.64
Away· -5.3%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
49.7%
Odds: 1.90
EV: -5.6%
Draw
23.9%
Odds: 3.75
EV: -10.4%
Away
26.3%
Odds: 3.60
EV: -5.3%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
54.9%
Odds: 1.57
-13.8%
Over 3.5
32.5%
Odds: 2.40
-22.0%
BTTS
56.5%
Odds: 1.50
-15.3%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✔
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
2-1
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
0-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Trabzonspor
1.70
Basaksehir
1.17
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-15.3%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -15.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.21) > Away GOOD (1.64)