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Enskede W vs Linköping W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Matchday 13 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 13:00

Enskede W logo
Enskede W
PPG 1.60 · HOME
1 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Linköping W logo
Linköping W
PPG 2.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.7% vs bookmaker-implied 63.3%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-18.7%0-27.2%0-34.0%0-4+2.4%1 1-06.8%1-111.2%1-29.3%1-35.1%1-4+3.1%2 2-04.4%2-17.2%2-26.0%2-33.3%2-4+2.0%3 3-01.9%3-13.1%3-22.6%3-31.4%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.3%4+-21.1%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.4%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 35.1% 25.6% 3.90 +36.9%
Draw 24.0% 25.6% 3.90 -3.8%
Away win 40.8% 59.9% 1.67 -31.9%
Over 2.5 60.4% 62.5% 1.60 -3.4%
Over 3.5 36.8% 41.2% 2.43 -10.6%
BTTS 61.7% 63.3% 1.58 -2.5%
Home O1.5 37.2% 33.6% 2.98 +10.9%
Away O1.5 48.2% 62.9% 1.59 -23.4%

League track record

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5 46%
BTTS 68%
Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 47%CONFIDENCE
✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob61.7%

A 41% / xG 1.3-1.7 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%
#2 1–2 9.3%
#3 0–2 7.2%
#4 2–1 7.2%
#5 0–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Enskede W1.3
Linköping W1.7

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 36.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ENSKEDE W · PPG 1.60

LINKÖPING W · PPG 2.33

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70%
BALANCED

xG gap -0.37 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Enskede W (H) 35.1%
ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +36.9%
Draw 24.0%
ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -3.8%
Linköping W (A) 40.8%
ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -31.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Enskede W face Linköping W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Enskede W a 35% chance, the draw 24% and Linköping W 41%, so Linköping W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Enskede W and 1.7 for Linköping W (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Enskede W are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 2.33 for Linköping W. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +10.9%. This match finished 1-2.

PredictVantage

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