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Gamla Upsala W vs Jitex W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Regular Season - 12 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 11:00

Gamla Upsala W

PPG 0.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Jitex W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.4% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-110.1%0-27.4%0-33.6%0-4+1.9%1 1-08.3%1-112.2%1-29.0%1-34.4%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.0%2-17.4%2-25.4%2-32.7%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.0%3-13.0%3-22.2%3-31.1%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.2%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.7% 35.7% 2.80 -0.0%

Draw 25.3% 30.3% 3.30 -9.9%

Away win 39.0% 45.9% 2.18 -15.0%

Over 2.5 53.4% 61.0% 1.64 -12.4%

Over 3.5 32.2% 38.5% 2.60 -16.3%

BTTS 55.4% 64.5% 1.55 -14.1%

Home O1.5 33.1% 44.8% 2.23 -26.2%

Away O1.5 46.8% 52.6% 1.90 -11.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 33%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob55.4%

A 39% / xG 1.2-1.5 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 0–0 6.8%

#4 0–1 10.1%

#5 0–2 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gamla Upsala W1.2

Jitex W1.5

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

GAMLA UPSALA W · PPG 0.33

JITEX W · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.26 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Gamla Upsala W (H) 35.7%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -0.0%

Draw 25.3%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -9.9%

Jitex W (A) 39.0%

ODDS 2.18 · IMPLIED 45.9% EV -15.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gamla Upsala W face Jitex W in Sweden - Elitettan on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gamla Upsala W a 36% chance, the draw 25% and Jitex W 39%, so Jitex W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Gamla Upsala W and 1.5 for Jitex W (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gamla Upsala W are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 1.00 for Jitex W.

Gamla Upsala W vs Jitex W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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