Today / Sweden - Elitettan / Örebro SK W vs Alingsås W

Örebro SK W vs Alingsås W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Matchday 13 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 14:00

Örebro SK W

PPG 2.17 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Alingsås W

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.80 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.1%0-16.9%0-23.0%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-013.4%1-111.5%1-25.0%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-011.1%2-19.5%2-24.1%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.1%3-15.3%3-22.3%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-13.2%4+-21.4%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.6% — — —

Draw 24.7% — — —

Away win 21.7% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 32.3% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 48.1% — — —

Away O1.5 21.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob53.1%

H 54% / xG 1.7-0.9 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 1–0 13.4%

#3 2–0 11.1%

#4 0–0 8.1%

#5 2–1 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Örebro SK W1.7

Alingsås W0.9

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ÖREBRO SK W · PPG 2.17

ALINGSÅS W · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.80 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Örebro SK W (H) 53.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Alingsås W (A) 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Örebro SK W face Alingsås W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Örebro SK W a 54% chance, the draw 25% and Alingsås W 22%, so Örebro SK W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Örebro SK W and 0.9 for Alingsås W (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Örebro SK W are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 0.67 for Alingsås W. This match finished 2-2.

Örebro SK W vs Alingsås W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Elitettan Predictions