Today / Sweden - Elitettan / Jitex W vs Häcken II W

Jitex W vs Häcken II W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Matchday 13 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 17:00

Jitex W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Häcken II W

PPG 0.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 61.4% vs bookmaker-implied 60.2% — a real, if thin, edge.

+1.9% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-14.6%0-22.4%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-09.1%1-19.6%1-25.0%1-31.8%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.5%2-19.9%2-25.2%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.5%3-16.9%3-23.6%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-05.5%4+-15.8%4+-23.0%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.0% 58.8% 1.70 -4.8%

Draw 22.4% 28.6% 3.50 -13.0%

Away win 21.5% 24.4% 4.10 -7.1%

Over 2.5 60.8% 60.2% 1.66 +0.9%

Over 3.5 37.8% 37.7% 2.65 +0.2%

BTTS 55.3% 60.6% 1.65 -8.8%

Home O1.5 61.4% 60.2% 1.66 +1.9%

Away O1.5 32.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 33%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 48%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.3%

H 56% / xG 2.1-1.0 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.5%

#4 1–0 9.1%

#5 3–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jitex W2.1

Häcken II W1.0

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.8% · O3.5 PROB 37.8%

Form & verdict PPG

JITEX W · PPG 1.00

HÄCKEN II W · PPG 0.17

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.03 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Jitex W (H) 56.0%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -4.8%

Draw 22.4%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -13.0%

Häcken II W (A) 21.5%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -7.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jitex W face Häcken II W in Sweden - Elitettan on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jitex W a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Häcken II W 22%, so Jitex W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Jitex W and 1.0 for Häcken II W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jitex W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.17 for Häcken II W. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +1.9%.

Jitex W vs Häcken II W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Elitettan Predictions