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Husqvarna W vs Umeå W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Matchday 13 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 11:00

Husqvarna W

PPG 0.83 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Umeå W

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.25 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-16.3%0-25.7%0-33.4%0-4+2.3%1 1-05.4%1-19.8%1-28.8%1-35.3%1-4+3.6%2 2-04.2%2-17.6%2-26.8%2-34.1%2-4+2.8%3 3-02.2%3-13.9%3-23.5%3-32.1%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.2%4+-21.9%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.1% — — —

Draw 22.4% — — —

Away win 38.5% — — —

Over 2.5 63.8% — — —

Over 3.5 42.6% — — —

BTTS 64.3% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 48.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob64.3%

A 38% / xG 1.6-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 1–2✓ 8.8%

#3 2–1 7.6%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 0–2 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Husqvarna W1.6

Umeå W1.8

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.8% · O3.5 PROB 42.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HUSQVARNA W · PPG 0.83

UMEÅ W · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.25 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Husqvarna W (H) 39.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Umeå W (A) 38.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Husqvarna W face Umeå W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Husqvarna W a 39% chance, the draw 22% and Umeå W 39%, so Husqvarna W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Husqvarna W and 1.8 for Umeå W (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Husqvarna W are averaging 0.83 points per game versus 1.17 for Umeå W. This match finished 1-2.

Husqvarna W vs Umeå W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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