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Göteborg W vs KIF Örebro W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Matchday 13 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 11:00

Göteborg W

PPG 2.40 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

KIF Örebro W

PPG 2.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-14.3%0-23.9%0-32.4%0-4+1.6%1 1-04.5%1-18.3%1-27.5%1-34.6%1-4+3.2%2 2-04.4%2-18.0%2-27.3%2-34.4%2-4+3.0%3 3-02.8%3-15.1%3-24.7%3-32.8%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-13.8%4+-23.5%4+-32.1%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.2% — — —

Draw 21.9% — — —

Away win 33.8% — — —

Over 2.5 66.3% — — —

Over 3.5 44.0% — — —

BTTS 64.3% — — —

Home O1.5 55.4% — — —

Away O1.5 50.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob64.3%

H 44% / xG 1.9-1.8 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.3%

#2 2–1 8.0%

#3 1–2 7.5%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 3–1 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Göteborg W1.9

KIF Örebro W1.8

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.3% · O3.5 PROB 44.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GÖTEBORG W · PPG 2.40

KIF ÖREBRO W · PPG 2.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.11 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Göteborg W (H) 44.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

KIF Örebro W (A) 33.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Göteborg W face KIF Örebro W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Göteborg W a 44% chance, the draw 22% and KIF Örebro W 34%, so Göteborg W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Göteborg W and 1.8 for KIF Örebro W (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Göteborg W are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 2.17 for KIF Örebro W. This match finished 3-0.

Göteborg W vs KIF Örebro W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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