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Elfsborg W vs Trelleborg W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Regular Season - 12 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 13:00

Elfsborg W

PPG 2.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Trelleborg W

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.44 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-14.3%0-21.2%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-015.2%1-18.7%1-22.5%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.3%2-18.7%2-22.5%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.2%3-15.8%3-21.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-08.1%4+-14.7%4+-21.3%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.4% — — —

Draw 21.4% — — —

Away win 15.2% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 48.7% — — —

Home O1.5 53.6% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 29%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.7%

H 63% / xG 2.0-0.6 / O2.5 53% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 15.3%

#2 1–0 15.2%

#3 3–0 10.2%

#4 1–1 8.7%

#5 0–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Elfsborg W2.0

Trelleborg W0.6

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ELFSBORG W · PPG 2.33

TRELLEBORG W · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.44 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Elfsborg W (H) 63.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Trelleborg W (A) 15.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Elfsborg W face Trelleborg W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Elfsborg W a 63% chance, the draw 21% and Trelleborg W 15%, so Elfsborg W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Elfsborg W and 0.6 for Trelleborg W (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Elfsborg W are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.20 for Trelleborg W.

Elfsborg W vs Trelleborg W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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